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Insights—Biggest Crime Gaps

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Now this is a true geek out—and not likely to actually help anyone searching for places to move! In this post, we aim to explore the cities with the biggest "crime gaps". By a crime gap, we mean differentials between the two types of crime: violent and property. In most cases, the intuitive expectation that cities would have roughly equivalent violent crime and property crime rates is validated by the data. However, there are some interesting exceptions, which we'll delve into here.

Let's start with cities with high rates of violent crime and low rates of property crime. In other words, these are cities where you might be more likely than the national average to get assaulted, but less likely to have your house broken into. We'll present the top ten by the difference between the violent crime rank and the property crime rank. (E.g., if City A is in the 90th percentile of violent crime and 40th percentile of property crime, its delta would be 50.)

  1. Flint, Michigan
  2. Fall River, Massachusetts
  3. Haverhill, Massachusetts
  4. Paterson, New Jersey
  5. Lawton, Oklahoma
  6. Pontiac, Michigan
  7. Victorville, California
  8. Apple Valley, California
  9. Highland, California
  10. Champaign, Illinois

Let's narrow this to big cities with populations of 200,000 or more, and present the top five.

  1. Tampa, Florida
  2. Worcester, Massachusetts
  3. Newark, New Jersey
  4. Boston, Massachusetts
  5. Chicago, Illinois

Now what about cities with relatively high property crime and relatively low violent crime? Most people would agree this is the better end of the deal, as possessions tend to be less important to people than safety. Again, we'll start with the overall top ten, then present a filtered view for large cities only. The methodology is the same as above.

  1. Davis, California
  2. Bellevue, Washington
  3. Broomfield, Colorado
  4. Walnut Creek, California
  5. Palo Alto, California
  6. Corvallis, Oregon
  7. Redmond, Washington
  8. La Crosse, Wisconsin
  9. Milpitas, California
  10. Owensboro, Kentucky

Top five over 200,000 people:

  1. Fremont, California
  2. Honolulu, Hawaii
  3. Lexington, Kentucky
  4. Irvine, California
  5. Scottsdale, Arizona

It is interesting that among larger cities, four of the top five with a higher-violent-crime gap are on the East Coast, while among cities with the reverse problem, four of five are out West.

Crime is an essential factor in where to move. To get moving advice filtered by crime rate, take the quiz!